The Bharatiya Janata Get together has deployed Om Mathur in Chhattisgarh, Bhupendra Yadav in Madhya Pradesh, Prahlad Joshi in Rajasthan and Prakash Javadekar in Telangana on the electoral entrance. Yadav and Joshi are ministers within the Modi cupboard, whereas Javadekar is a former Union minister. Om Mathur has been a Rajya Sabha MP.
The elections to those 4 states to be held on the finish of the 12 months are being thought of because the semi-finals of the Lok Sabha. Presently BJP has energy solely in Madhya Pradesh. Together with returning right here, the occasion can be staking declare to kind the federal government in Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh and southern Telangana.
All of the 4 states are additionally essential from the standpoint of the Lok Sabha. These states have 82 seats out of a complete of 543, which is sufficient to flip the equation the other way up. The BJP was badly defeated in 2018 within the Hindi belt of Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan. BJP is the third occasion in Telangana.
In such a scenario, there’s a dialogue within the political corridors that why BJP has given command to those 4 leaders in such essential elections?
Speak about BJP’s stronghold of Madhya Pradesh first
Barring the 12 months 2018-2020, BJP is in energy right here for the final 20 years. Madhya Pradesh has been a stronghold of the BJP because the time of the Jana Sangh. For the primary time in 1977, the Chief Minister of Jansangh was made in Madhya Pradesh itself.
In 2018, the BJP misplaced to the Congress in an in depth contest, however returned to energy in 2020 after a political improvement, however this time the political equation was modified. Regardless that the Chief Minister grew to become BJP’s Khanti chief Shivraj, however the affect of defectors remained in energy.
Because of this, factionalism dominated the group. For the primary time, the information of factionalism inside the BJP was additionally broadly printed within the media. Congress chief Digvijay Singh took a dig at this and mentioned that there are three factions in BJP, 1. Shivraj faction 2. Maharaj faction (Jyotiraditya Scindia faction) and three. Indignant faction
On account of factionalism, the matter of BJP’s mass base has additionally come to the fore. Within the latest survey, the occasion appears to be lagging behind the Congress. In accordance with the C-Voter opinion ballot, out of 230 seats in Madhya Pradesh, BJP can get 106-118 seats and Congress can get 108-120 seats.
In December 2022, the BJP had performed an inside survey, wherein the efficiency of 40 p.c of the MLAs was mentioned to be poor. Many MLAs had complained about factionalism to the excessive command. In such a scenario, the largest problem for BJP in Madhya Pradesh is factionalism together with anti-incumbency.
Why did Bhupendra Yadav get the command of MP?
Within the Modi authorities, cupboard minister Bhupendra Yadav is counted as a silent strategist inside the BJP. After Amit Shah grew to become highly effective in 2014, Bhupendra’s stature additionally elevated. Yadav is understood to be an skilled in ending inside assaults and troubling the opponents.
In 2014, Yadav was given the command of Jharkhand by being made the nationwide basic secretary. Yadav introduced leaders like Arjun Munda, Raghubar Das, Laxman Gilua on one platform by organizing sales space conferences in Jharkhand. Additionally tied up with small events like AJSU.
Yadav’s formulation was a success and BJP destroyed UPA’s sturdy tribal, Yadav and Muslim equation in Jharkhand. By controlling factionalism, Yadav performed an enormous position in making BJP the one largest occasion in Maharashtra elections as nicely.
In 2017, Yadav received the command of Uttar Pradesh, the place BJP received a document victory for the primary time. In Uttar Pradesh too, the occasion was divided into a number of factions. In 2020, BJP handed over the command of Higher Hyderabad Municipal Company to Yadav. Right here additionally he left Congress and BRS breathless together with his technique.
BJP grew to become the second largest occasion in Higher Hyderabad Company by successful 44 seats. Within the 2020 elections, Yadav performed a significant position in making BJP an even bigger occasion than JDU. After separating from BJP in 2022, JDU President Lalan Singh revealed Yadav’s plan.
In accordance with Lalan Singh, to take the BJP ahead, Yadav first ran the Chirag mannequin after which in coordination with RCP Singh fielded weak candidates on JDU’s image. Within the 2020 elections, BJP received 74 seats and JDU received 43 seats.
Rajasthan: The problem of contesting elections and not using a native face
The Hindi heartland of Rajasthan has been a BJP stronghold, however the occasion misplaced right here in 2018. BJP is attempting to make a comeback right here this time. Nonetheless, the occasion has not but declared a neighborhood face. In Rajasthan, Vasundhara Raje, Satish Poonia, Om Birla and Gajendra Shekhawat are contenders for the submit of Chief Minister.
That is the primary time after 1990, when BJP is getting ready to enter the electoral fray and not using a face. Until 2002, Bhairo Singh Shekhawat was once the chief ministerial face of BJP, after he grew to become the Vice President, Vasundhara was put ahead by BJP, however this time the occasion has saved silence.
Alternatively, the Congress has stopped the continuing political feud between Sachin Pilot and Ashok Gehlot. Each the leaders have talked about contesting the elections collectively.
Because of the isolation of Vasundhara, the occasion doesn’t have a single chief with a maintain in the whole state. BJP has misplaced 6 by-elections in Rajasthan to this point. In such a scenario, the native face and factionalism stay a problem for the BJP.
Why did Prahlad Joshi get the command of Rajasthan?
Joshi is understood for working in a low profile. On account of his identify being within the Good Guide of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he has been straight given the command of Rajasthan. From 2013-2017, he has been the state president of Karnataka BJP.
Within the latest Karnataka elections, Joshi performed a significant position within the one-sided victory of the BJP in Dharwad (Central). On account of Joshi’s technique, senior chief Jagadish Shettar misplaced the election. In accordance with specialists, there was hypothesis about Joshi getting the command in Karnataka, however Yeddyurappa camp didn’t give consent.
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Prahlad Joshi was the election in-charge of Uttarakhand within the 2022 elections, the place BJP received huge. Joshi insisted on selling the lotus image besides Chehra, which was a success. By elevating the problem of Hindutva within the elections, he snatched away the received victory from the Congress on the final second.
Chhattisgarh: It’s not straightforward to interrupt the pair of Baghel-Singhdev right here
In 2018, the 15-year rule of the BJP was uprooted by the Congress underneath the management of Bhupesh Baghel and TS Singhdev. BJP has not been in a position to kind a powerful group right here since then. At first of 2023, BJP had handed over the command of the group to Om Mathur.
Mathur has now been made in-charge of the elections. Means now Mathur can be in full energy right here. Just lately, senior tribal chief of Chhattisgarh BJP, Nand Kumar Sai had left the occasion. There may be hypothesis of many extra leaders leaving.
For victory within the Chhattisgarh Meeting with 90 seats, 46 MLAs are required. Consultants are telling BJP distant from the magical determine of 46 in Chhattisgarh. Motive- Baghel and Singhdev have a powerful pair.
Congress Chief Minister Bhupesh Baghel has additional strengthened the picture of his grassroots chief within the final 4 and a half years. Baghel has additionally carried out many schemes in Chhattisgarh to assist the tribals. Just lately, the Congress excessive command has put an finish to the political rivalry between Singhdev and Baghel.
Chhattisgarh filled with pure sources is essential for any occasion.
Why did Mathur get the command to demolish the sturdy fort of Congress?
Om Mathur, who comes from Rajasthan, is counted among the many huge strategists of BJP. Mathur was in control of the 2012 Gujarat elections, wherein Narendra Modi grew to become the nationwide face after his victory. Mathur has been in control of Gujarat, UP, Haryana and Maharashtra.
Mathur had given the formulation of ‘Sales space Robust’ inside the BJP in Gujarat, which the occasion later carried out throughout the nation. Mathur’s energy will also be gauged from certainly one of his statements.
Mathur made an enormous assertion throughout a rally in Rajasthan. He had mentioned that even Narendra Modi can not uproot the peg I had planted. In accordance with Mathur, nobody can reject the ticket given by me.
(Picture- OM Mathur)
Mathur, who was an RSS pracharak, the Prime Minister Narendra Modi And is taken into account near Amit Shah. Mathur has been a member of the Rajya Sabha. He at all times most popular the work of the group as an alternative of the federal government.
In accordance with specialists, Mathur additionally had the thought of projecting the Modi face within the meeting elections, which benefited the occasion in states like UP, Himachal, Haryana.
Telangana: This fort of South isn’t straightforward to overcome alone
After the defeat in Karnataka, BJP has been out of the politics of South. The occasion has hope from Telangana, however it isn’t straightforward for the occasion to win right here alone. There are 119 meeting seats in Telangana. In 2018, BJP had received just one seat.
The regional occasion BRS may be very sturdy in Telangana and Okay Chandrasekhar Rao’s authorities is in energy for two consecutive phrases. After Karnataka victory, Congress has additionally confused the equation of Telangana. In accordance with specialists, Congress is in a stronger place right here than BJP.
BJP received embroiled in an inside combat in Telangana. The occasion has lately eliminated the president Bandi Sanjay Kumar and handed over the command of the state to G. Kishan Reddy. In Telangana, the dialogue of BJP’s alliance with BRS can be sturdy.
Why was the command of Telangana handed over to Javadekar?
Within the 2018 elections, Javadekar performed an enormous position in making BJP a significant occasion in Karnataka. Javedkar is understood to be an skilled in connecting allies. Whereas in cost in Tamil Nadu, many events have been linked with BJP.
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Whereas in control of Rajasthan, Prakash Javadekar performed an enormous position in bringing Hanuman Beniwal with NDA. With the arrival of Javadekar in Telangana additionally, there may be speak of alliance with BRS.
On account of opposition from Congress, it’s believed that Chandrasekhar Rao could include BJP. A case can be registered towards his daughter in ED.
Javadekar, who performed the position of spokesperson in BJP from 2006-2014, has additionally been a minister within the Modi authorities.
