With India already secured high spot within the standings, the one semis spot left now could be for the fourth place finishers within the factors desk, who would be the opponent of the hosts within the last-four stage.
Three groups are nonetheless vying for the final remaining spot within the knock-out stage. New Zealand, Pakistan and Afghanistan must win their ultimate league matches and hope to win the battle of internet run charges (NRR) to make the reduce. Any crew, among the many three, who misplaced their final league match will fall behind within the race.
Listed here are a couple of situations to find out the opponent of the undefeated India within the all-important semi-final:
State of affairs 1
If New Zealand beat Sri Lanka on Thursday, they would be the frontrunner to face India within the semifinal. The Kiwis (+0.398) have one of the best NRR among the many three, adopted by Pakistan (+.036) and Afghanistan (-0.338).
Afghanistan play South Africa, who’re already assured of a high three end, on Friday and they’re going to want certainly one of their greatest wins ever to compensate for his or her destructive NRR. So, possibly their probabilities to succeed in the semis will finish with the New Zealand victory.
Pakistan play their final league match towards England on Saturday, after New Zealand and Afghanistan conclude their round-robin campaigns. And they’re going to know the precise margin of victory required to go previous the Kiwis within the race. However an enormous win for the Kiwis towards the Lankans will shut the door for them too as they’re behind on NRR.
State of affairs 2
If New Zealand lose to Sri Lanka and Afghanistan win towards South Africa. Pakistan can go previous the Kiwis with a win towards England. Then Pakistan and Afghanistan could have 10 factors every and New Zealand 8.
With Pakistan’s NRR being a lot better than Afghanistan, the latter won’t be able to cease a mouth-watering India vs Pakistan semi-final conflict.
State of affairs 3
If all three misplaced their ultimate matches. All of them will end on Eight factors. Once more, NRR will come into play and the benefit can be with New Zealand, who’re already forward within the factors desk on superior NRR over Pakistan and Afghanistan.
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State of affairs 4
If New Zealand’s final match towards Sri Lanka is washed out as a result of rain, then a win for Pakistan towards England will take them forward of the Kiwis within the standings with 10 factors. Win for Afghanistan will even take them to 10 factors and NRR will come into play once more to resolve the semi-finalists. Pakistan could have a bonus there.
If rain washed out all their final video games, then the Kiwis will undergo on a superior internet run fee.
So, the opportunity of an India vs Pakistan semi-final conflict principally relies on New Zealand recreation towards Sri Lanka on Thursday.
