The Bharatiya Janata Social gathering (BJP) and Congress have been working exhausting to organize their ballot methods for the 2024 Lok Sabha Elections. Whereas the BJP has set an bold goal of successful 400 seats within the subsequent election, the Congress and INDIA bloc are working to finalize a seat-sharing deal to defy the Modi may. Now, an opinion ballot by C-Voter has given some essential insights into the attainable seat projections for each the events in South India and the northern states.
The survey gave an higher hand to the BJP within the north however favoured the Congress-led bloc within the South. In Madhya Pradesh (29 seats), the BJP is more likely to win 27-29 seats and Congress 0-2 whereas in Rajasthan (25 seats), the BJP could get 23-25 seats and Congress 0-2 seats. Of the 11 Lok Sabha seats in Chhattisgarh, the BJP could win 9-11 and the Congress 0-2.
In Karnataka the place the BJP misplaced the meeting election earlier this yr, the get together is more likely to win 22-24 seats whereas Congress has 4-6 seats of the whole 28 seats. In Telangana, the second southern state in full management of the Congress get together, the BJP could get solely 1-Three seats whereas the Congress could get 9-11 seats and the BRS 3-5 seats of the whole 17 seats.
These states have a complete of 110 seats and the BJP is more likely to win round 83-85 seats.
However, there are 223 Lok Sabha seats in 5 key states – Punjab, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Bihar and Uttar Pradesh. Of those, the BJP+ is more likely to win 125-130 seats. These states play a pivotal function in sending any get together to energy. Of the 80 seats of Uttar Pradesh, the NDA-led by BJP is more likely to win 73-75 seats, whereas Congress + SP 4-6 seats and BSP 0-2 seats.
In Punjab, regardless of the state having an Aam Aadmi Social gathering authorities, the Congress has emerged favourites within the survey. Based on it, of the 13 Lok Sabha seats, Congress could win 5-7, AAP 4-6, BJP 0-2 seats and Shiromani Akali Dal 0-2 seats.
Of the 48 Lok Sabha seats in Maharashtra, Congress+ (Shiv Sena-UBT, NCP-Sharad Pawar and Congress) could get 26-28 seats whereas the BJP+ (BJP, Shiv Sena-Shinde and NCP-Ajit Pawar) could get 19-21 seats and others 0-2 seats.
Of the 42 Lok Sabha seats in West Bengal the place the BJP will face the may of Trinamool Congress, the saffron get together is more likely to win 16-18 seats whereas the ruling TMC could bag 23-25 seats and Congress+ (Congress, CPM) 0-2 seats.
In Bihar the place 40 Lok Sabha seats will go to the polls, Congress+ (Congress, JDU and RJD) could win 21-23 seats, BJP+ (BJP, LJP-Ram Vilas, LJP-Pashupati Kumar Paras, HAM) 16-18 seats and others 0-2 seats.
In whole, these 10 states have 333 seats of which the NDA is more likely to win round 210 seats. If this survey is to be believed, the BJP will face an uphill job of successful 90 seats of the remaining 212 seats which incorporates 39 in Tamil Nadu, 25 in Andhra Pradesh, 20 In Kerala, 21 in Odisha, 14 in Assam and 26 in Gujarat. Whereas the BJP may sweep Gujarat and Assam, it faces the mammoth job of breaching the Andhra Pradesh, Kerala and Dravidian fort Tamil Nadu.
The BJP, which is planning to register a victory larger than 2019 by successful round 400 seats or not less than greater than 350 seats, might even see its ‘2024 report’ dream being spoiled by states like Bihar, Maharashtra, Odisha, and Southern belt. If these surveys are to be believed, the NDA could safe a majority securing a historic third time period for Prime Minister Narendra Modi however solely with many seats that it bagged within the 2019 polls.
