Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Celebration (AAP) got here into existence opposing the Congress and BJP. Within the true sense, that X-factor has been a key to the grand success of AAP in Delhi and Punjab. In Delhi, it gave AAP three consecutive successes and Punjab a victory better than Congress and Akalis. The Aam Aadmi Celebration has managed to extend its vote share in lots of different states like Gujarat, Haryana and Goa. However forward of the Lok Sabha elections, the AAP seems to have fallen into the entice of the Congress-led INDIA bloc and it might damage the get together’s prospects within the Parliamentary polls.
AAP-Congress Seat Sharing Deal
In Delhi (7 seats), Congress will contest three seats and AAP on 4 whereas in Gujarat, Congress will contest 24 seats and AAP on two seats – Bharuch and Bhavnagar. Of the 10 seats in Haryana, Congress to contest 9 and AAP on one -Kurukshetra. In Chandigarh, the Congress will contest on the lone seat whereas in Goa, the Congress to contest on each seats. The AAP had already introduced a candidate for one of many two seats in Goa however withdrew it after a take care of the Congress.
Delhi | Congress and AAP announce seat-sharing in Delhi, Gujarat, Haryana, Chandigarh and Goa
In Delhi (7 seats), Congress to contest on three and AAP on 4
In Gujarat (26 seats), Congress to contest on 24 and AAP on 2 (in Bharuch and Bhavnagar)
In Haryana (10 seats), Congress to… pic.twitter.com/vCauAdvkUm
— ANI (@ANI) February 24, 2024
Historic Knowledge From Delhi 2019 Polls
In Delhi, the place the AAP is a number of instances stronger than Congress, the ruling get together has given three out of seven seats to the grand outdated get together. The Congress has been constantly witnessing an erosion of its vote financial institution within the nationwide capital in favour of the AAP. By becoming a member of fingers with Congress, AAP has despatched out a message that each events are the identical and thus it’s sure to alienate these voters who assist AAP for its distinct ideology. The truth is, on all of the seven seats, the mixed vote share of AAP-Congress was lower than that polled by the BJP within the 2019 polls with the Congress securing second place and the AAP at third rank.
Learnings From RJD, Samajwadi Celebration
In Bihar, through the 2019 Lok Sabha polls and even through the 2020 meeting elections, the RJD was in alliance with the Congress. It gave 9 seats to the Congress within the Parliamentary polls however the alliance did not win even a single seat. Within the 2020 meeting polls, the RJD contested 144 seats and gained 75 of them whereas the Congress contested 70 seats and gained simply 19. The decrease strike price of Congress was thought of one of many causes that the RJD misplaced out on energy by a whisker. In Uttar Pradesh, the Samajwadi Celebration had allied with the Congress through the 2017 Meeting polls. The Samajwadi Celebration contested 298 seats and the Congress on 105 seats. The Congress gained simply seven seats whereas the SP bagged 47 of them.
Within the 2022 meeting polls, Akhilesh Yadav opted to not ally with the Congress and contested 347 seats by itself by allocating 56 seats to the regional events. As a result of this, the SP managed to extend its profitable seats to 111 whereas the Congress regardless of contesting 399 seats, gained simply two seats. This reveals that allying with Congress hurts the regional events’ prospects. Every time a celebration, sturdy in a specific area or state allies with the Congress, its profitable probabilities lower whereas serving to the Congress survive extinction menace. If the pattern continues, AAP might witness a lower in its vote share whereas that of Congress might improve barely. This may occasionally additional damage the AAP’s effort to extend its presence throughout the nation.
